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January 16, 2008 03:22 AM UTC

Michigan Primary

  • 29 Comments
  • by: DavidThi808

( – promoted by Colorado Pols)

A place to post about tonight’s Michigan primary. Will Mitt still be in the race? Will Rudy get even 50% of Ron Paul? Will Thompson beat other?

Comments

29 thoughts on “Michigan Primary

  1. It’s going to be interesting to see if Indy voters stay at home b/c of the rather bad weather today across most of the state.  Being from NorCal, any time it’s under 50* I think it’s freezing…so I understand their apparent hesitancy.  😛

    And hell, I just can’t help myself.  This isn’t so much a prediction as much as what I hope will happen.

    McCain 32%

    Romney 31%

    Huck 19%

    Sucks to be Mittens tonight (at least I hope…but I’ll probably be wrong…)

  2. Saturday is going to be interesting.  Could we really see a 4 way race (in SC) if Arthur Branch continues his rise in the polls?  Even a 3-way race is interesting.  How big a boost will Mitt get?  How far will McCain fall.  Will Huck’s accent be enough to win?

    Oh yeah…and the Dems have a little somethin’ goin’ on in Nevada too.  😛

    Random note:  did anyone else notice Romney had “The Postal Service” playing in the background of his campaign party?  Ah jeez…I heart indie electronica. 🙂

  3. Incredibly small number of voters

    Rudy Giuliani 3,501 3%

    Mike Huckabee 23,010 17%

    Duncan Hunter 454 0%

    John McCain 41,786 31%

    Ron Paul 8,231 6%

    Mitt Romney 49,785 37%

    Fred Thompson 5,356 4%

    Uncommitted 2,694 2%

     

  4. Ron Paul beats both Guiliani and Thompson. Either Ron Paul is a credible candidate or the other two are not. I think Feb 5 we will say goodbye to Thompson & Guiliani unless they have some kind of giant turn-around.

    If Huckabee wins SC (likely) and the 3 split on Feb 5 then the Repubs have a real 3-way race.

    And Hillary only getting 61% to 34% for uncommitted – that is lousy news for her.

    – dave

    1. Out of all the Republicans, I would prefer Romney. Pro-choice, pro-gay marriage, pro-government health care. Granted, he will say absolutely anything to get elected, but clearly will govern as a liberal.

      I’ll take that trade-off.

      – dave

      ps – I would have guessed you would be a Ron Paul supporter.

    2. He grew up there. His father was gov. All in all, he should have carried the state with 50% or better. Heck, even some of my relatives were thinking of voting for him (they did not; their common sense took over). I am guessing that he will carry about 3 states max, no more.

      1. I don’t buy that.  Michigan was a target state for multiple candidates, there was no way for anyone to have gotten over 50% there, especially considering that Romney never held office there.

        The real person in trouble is McCain, who did win Michigan in 2000 with over 50%.  This time he got what, 31%.

        Sorry, but you can’t spin this as anything other than a huge win for Romney.  Romney got more votes in Michigan than McCain and Huckabee got in Iowa and New Hampshire combined.  He now has more delegates than anyone.

        Some how he’s in trouble?

  5. Rudy Giuliani 12,849 3%
    Mike Huckabee 69,151 15%
    Duncan Hunter 1,447 0%
    John McCain 132,780 30%
    Ron Paul  28,541 6%
    Mitt Romney 176,573   40%
    Fred Thompson   16,437 4%
    Uncommitted 8,563 2%

    This isn’t Mitt barely beat McCain – this is substantial. McCain + Giuliani + Thompson + Uncommitted is less than Romney. And Huckabee would need all of that help plus Paul just to get up to McCain.

    So we now have all 3 winners with a strong win. And Guiliani looks to be first in the polls in Nevada. If he takes Nevada then we will have had 4 races with no winner in more than 1 state.

    The Republicans are all over the place. Now this would not be a biggie if say on the Dem side we had a 3-way between Clinton, Obama, & Edwards because they are all looking to achieve the same results. They just disagree on how to get there.

    But on the Republican side we have giant differences between the candidates and so this primary brings forward the war between the factions in the party.

    I love it…

      1. Again, the polls were way off.  Again, a story should be the long line of how the polls have gotten things wrong.

        Iowa was supposed to be close.  The actual results were Huckabee by nine.

        New Hampshire was supposed to be close.  The actual results were McCain by five.

        Michigan was supposed to be close.  The actual results were Romney by nine.

        Clinton was supposed to win Iowa.  She got her butt kicked.

        Obama was supposed to walk away with New Hampshire.  Clinton won by three.

        How wrong do polls have to be before we ignore them completely?

        1. Just read a letter in the paper today about a guy who was a reporter back when.  One of his schticks was to conduct polls from within barbershops.  He claims that they were as good as the pro’s.

          Judging by all the professionals running around and coming up with gross errors, it wouldn’t be hard to equal that in a barbershop.  

  6. Winning with 55% to Uncommitted’s 40% (Kucinich – 4%, Dodd – 1%) is not a good sign for Clinton.  She may have won this meaningless primary, but she comes out damaged in spite of it.

    Nevada and South Carolina are crucial to her opponents; Clinton holds substantial leads in the polls in California, Florida (another meaningless primary) and New York.  Edwards and Obama need to keep her well under 50% or she’ll win on super-delegates.

    1. This is absolutely wonderful – truly competitive races on both sides. Everyone seems to be upset that we don’t know the winner yet – but this is how it is supposed to be, that they have to compete in state after state after state.

      Democracy is wonderful when it works – and this is it working.

  7. has more support than I thought.  The exit polls show Romney got more of the self described evangelical vote than Mr. Huckabee.  The squares with my Republican friends here in Colorado.  Romney is favored over Huckabee by 3 or 4 to 1. And I was surprised to find a deep disdain for John McCain among almost all my Republican friends. I don’t think he would carry Colorado.

    I hope this turns out to be right “Out of all the Republicans, I would prefer Romney. Pro-choice, pro-gay marriage, pro-government health care. Granted, he will say absolutely anything to get elected, but clearly will govern as a liberal.

    I’ll take that trade-off.”

    Looks like going forward Mr Romney is the top or one of the front runners on their side.

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